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Monday, November 23, 2020 | History

2 edition of Partisan cycles in congressional elections and the macroeconomy found in the catalog.

Partisan cycles in congressional elections and the macroeconomy

Alberto Alesina

Partisan cycles in congressional elections and the macroeconomy

  • 95 Want to read
  • 37 Currently reading

Published by National Bureau of Economic Research in Cambridge, MA (1050 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, Mass. 02138) .
Written in English

    Subjects:
  • United States. -- Congress -- Elections.,
  • Business cycles -- Political aspects.,
  • Macroeconomics.,
  • United States -- Economic conditions.

  • Edition Notes

    StatementAlberto Alesina, Howard Rosenthal.
    SeriesNBER working paper series -- working paper no. 2706, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) -- working paper no. 2706.
    ContributionsRosenthal, Howard, 1939-, National Bureau of Economic Research.
    The Physical Object
    Pagination46 p. ;
    Number of Pages46
    ID Numbers
    Open LibraryOL22440396M

    Kwanza Hall (D) defeated Robert Franklin (D) in a special runoff election for Georgia's 5th Congressional District on December 1, The winner of this race will serve the remainder of John Lewis’ (D) congressional term through January 3, Lewis died on J When the th Congress is sworn in, the seat will be represented by Nikema Williams (D), who won the November.


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Partisan cycles in congressional elections and the macroeconomy by Alberto Alesina Download PDF EPUB FB2

The post-war United States exhibits two rather strong politico-economic regularities. The political regularity is that the party of the President has always lost votes in aid-term Congressional elections, relative to its Congressional vote in the previous elections; the economic regularity is that Republican administrations exhibit below average economic growth in the first half of each term Cited by:   Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy - Volume 83 Issue 2 - Alberto Alesina, Howard RosenthalCited by: Alesina, Alberto, and Howard Rosenthal.

“Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy.” American Political Science Review 83 (2): Cited by: Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy the party of the President has always lost votes in aid-term Congressional elections, relative to its Congressional vote in the.

Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy The Harvard community has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits you. Your story matters Citation Alesina, Alberto, and Howard Rosenthal. Partisan cycles in congressional elections and the macroeconomy.

American Political Science Review 83(2. Alesina, Alberto & Rosenthal, Howard, "Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. Partisan cycles in Congressional elections and the macroeconomy.

APSR Two Puzzles to Explain In the postwar US, the president's party has almost always lost seats in midterm elections. The authors first outline the rational partisan business cycle, where Republican administrations begin with recession, and Democratic administrations with expansions, and next the midterm cycle.

Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy. rational partisan business cycle, where Republican administrations begin with recessions, and Democratic ones with expansions.

A. Alesina, H. RosenthalPartisan cycles in congressional elections and the macroeconomy The American Political Science Review, 83 (2) (), pp. Google Scholar. Alesina and Rosenthal: Partisan cycles in Congressional elections and the macroeconomy All material © unless noted.

Featuring glorious hand-coded PHP and XHTML/CSS. The “Partisan Theory” of macroeconomic policy is based on the idea that political parties typically weight nominal and real economic performance differently, with left‐party governments being more inclined than right‐party ones to pursue expansive policies designed to yield lower unemployment and higher growth, but running the risk of extra inflation.

Part of the Studies in Public Choice book series (SIPC, volume 6 “Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy”, American Political Science Review, 83, 63–82 b. “Politics Matters After All (1). Testing Alesina’s Theory of RE Partisan Cycles on Data for 17 countries”, Forthcoming in N.

Thygesen. Alesina, A. and Rosenthal, H. () ‘Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy’ (forthcoming) in the American Political Science. Most evidence strongly favors the Hibbs post-election partisan cycle over the Nordhaus pre- election cycle, at least among OECD countries.

Alesina and Rosenthal (), for example, find that the first halves of presidential terms exhibit higher growth under Democratic administrations than under Republican ones consistent with the Hibbs model.

The authors outline the rational partisan business cycle, where Republican administrations begin with recessions, and Democratic ones with expansions, and the midterm cycle, where the President's party loses votes in the midterm congressional election.

The book argues that both cycles are the result of uncertainty about the outcome of Reviews: 1. Large portions of the following books are required reading, so you may wish to buy them. Abramson, Paul R., John H.

Aldrich, David W. Rohde. Change and Continuity in the Elections. Washington DC: Congressional Quarterly. Alesina, Alberto, and Howard Rosenthal. Partisan Politics, Divided Government, and the Economy.

New York. Partisan cycles in congressional elections and the macroeconomy / Alberto Alesina, Howard Rosenthal; Politics and economics in the eighties / edited by Alberto Alesina and Geoffrey Carliner; Partisan politics, divided government, and the economy / Alberto Alesina and Howard Rosenthal.

Chapter in NBER book NBER Macroeconomics AnnualVolume 3 (), Stanley Fischer, editor (p. 13 - 62) w Elections and Macroeconomic Policy Cycles: Alesina and Rosenthal: w Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy: Drazen.

THE PARTISAN MODEL OF MACROECONOMIC CYCLES: MORE THEORY AND EVIDENCE FOR THE UNITED STATES* DOUGLAS A. HIBBS, JR The “Partisan Theory” of macroeconomic policy is based on the idea that political parties typically weight nominal and real economic performance differently, with left-party governments being more inclined than right-party.

“Partisan Cycles and Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy.” American Political Science Review Campbell, James E. “The Revised Theory of Surge and Decline.” American Journal of Political Science Erikson, Robert S. “Economic Conditions and the Congressional Vote: A Review of the Macrolevel.

"Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy." American Political Science Review 83 (June, ): Reprinted (in Japanese) in Public Choice Studies, and in Joel H. Silbey, ed., The Congress of the United States 4.

The United States Congress: The Electoral Connection Carlson Publishing, U.S. politics and the American macroeconomy Fox, Gerald T This book is primarily aimed at business managers, professionals, students, and other interested individuals who would like to gain a greater understanding and appreciation of the political macro-economy.

The United States redistricting cycle will take place following the completion of the United States all fifty states, various bodies will re-draw state legislative districts.

States that are apportioned more than one seat in the United States House of Representatives will also draw new districts for that legislative body.

The rules for redistricting vary from state to. The review then surveys parallel developments in partisan theory: Hibbs' (, a, b) foundational contribution, then the introduction of election-induced surprises in government partisanship, and so in policy, which reproduces at least short-term economic-outcome cycles from partisan policy cycles (Alesina, Alesina & Rosenthal.

Political Business Cycles. Another Look at the Evidence for Rational Partisan Cycles Public ChoiceAbstract. In presenting evidence in favor of rational partisan cycles, where electoral victories by leftist parties are expected to create temporary expansions and electoral victories by rightist parties are expected to create temporary recessions, Alesina, Cohen and Roubini.

Congress: Keystone of the Washington Establishment. Fenno, Richard. Homestyle. Alesina and Rosenthal, “Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy,” APSR Westlye, Mark.

Senate Elections and Campaign Intensity. Jacobson and Kernell, Strategy and Choice in Congressional Elections. Herrera and.

The economy also affects presidential approval, Congressional elections, consumer sentiment, voter participation, and macropartisanship.

An international dimension of the political macroeconomy is the issue of free trade versus protectionism and the perspectives of economic liberalism, neomercantilism, and structuralism. \/span>\"@ en \/a. “Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy.” American Political Science Review – CrossRef | Google Scholar Archer, Ron.

“Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy.” American Political Science Review Week 6: Financing Campaigns and Mobilization Effects 10/ Campaign Finance/Effects of Money Readings: Jacobson, Gary C.

“The Effects of Campaign Spending in Congressional Elections.”. The Politics of Congressional Elections, 7th ed., Longman, Samuel Popkin, The Reasoning Voter Partisan Hearts and Minds: Political Parties and the Social Identities of Voters, “Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the.

Macroeconomy,” APSR. 83 () Mark C. Westlye, Senate Elections and Campaign. This book explores how the political process in the United States influences the economy and how economic conditions influence electoral results.

It explains how the interaction between the President and Congress lead to the formulation of macroeconomic policy and how the American voters achieve moderation by balancing the two institutions.

Alesina and Rosenthal (), “Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy.” Week 9 3/3: Redistricting Abramowitz et al. () “Don’t Blame Redistricting” McDonald (), “Drawing the Line on District Competition” 3/5: Representation.

arises during the on-year election when voters cast ballots for both the president and the Congress. A second opportunity occurs during the congressional midterm election.

At the midterm, moderate voters possess full knowledge of the president's partisan affiliation and can tailor their congressional vote to dilute the president's power.

Data from the Cooperative Congressional Election Study are examined to determine the extent to which partisan polarization is a popular as well as an elite phenomenon. The evidence indicates that ordinary Americans as well as political elites divide consistently along party lines over a broad range of issues and legislative preferences.

Giacomo Chiozza Presidents on the cycle: Elections, audience costs, Jamie L. Carson, Stephen Pettigrew Strategic politicians, partisan roll calls, and the Tea Party: Alberto Alesina, Howard Rosenthal Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy. We examine the impact of U.S.

elections and partisan politics on the stock market using jump--diffusion models of daily stock returns from to () utilized a formal finance model to examine election cycles and political determinants of stock returns.

Partisan cycles in congressional elections and the macroeconomy. American. arises during the on-year election when voters cast ballots for both the president and the Congress. A second opportunity occurs during the congressional midterm election. At the midterm, moderate voters possess full knowledge of the president’s partisan affiliation and can tailor their congressional vote to dilute the president’s power.

The 20 Most Important Books About Congress to have Read to Understand Contemporary Scholarship. Aldrich, John. Gary C. Politics of Congressional Elections. New York, NY: Longman, ISBN: Alesina, and Howard Rosenthal. "Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy." (): Burden, Barry C.

Spiliotes aregues that presidents confront the vicious cycle of of a sense of "institutional responsibility." This argument, however, implies a set of motives palpably distinct from the electoral connection.

Spiliotes is correct to criticize the partisan and political business-cycle models, and in this regard his book is imaginative and s: 1. Find helpful customer reviews and review ratings for VICIOUS CYCLE: Presidential Decision Making in the American Political Economy (Joseph V.

Hughes Jr. and Holly O. Hughes Series in the Presidency and Learning Studies (Hardcover)) at Read honest .“Partisan Business Cycles under Variable Election Dates” Journal of Macroeconomics“The Econometrics of Rational Partisan Theory” Applied Economics“Which Economic Freedoms Contribute to Growth?” (with Michael Stroup) KyklosWaterman, "Interpreting U.S.

Congressional Elections: The Exposure Thesis," Legislative Studies Quarterly 11 (May ): ; Alberto Alesina and Howard Rosenthal, "Partisan Cycles in Con-gressional Elections and the Macroeconomy," American Political .